Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.040704 0.047384 0.054727 0.063383 0.073298 0.084284 0.097369
2025-08-10 0.029876 0.038395 0.048624 0.061763 0.078137 0.097814 0.123190
2025-08-17 0.022838 0.032018 0.043928 0.060399 0.082460 0.110842 0.149953
2025-08-24 0.018416 0.027890 0.041046 0.060453 0.088112 0.125832 0.180811
2025-08-31 0.014745 0.023971 0.037602 0.058918 0.091037 0.137162 0.207800
2025-09-07 0.012958 0.022423 0.037191 0.061484 0.099888 0.157533 0.249599
2025-09-14 0.011019 0.020237 0.035381 0.061509 0.104707 0.172261 0.284414
2025-09-21 0.009182 0.017859 0.032836 0.059874 0.106512 0.182308 0.312777
2025-09-28 0.007865 0.016141 0.031097 0.059259 0.109762 0.194779 0.346013
2025-10-05 0.007329 0.015769 0.031649 0.062662 0.120185 0.219998 0.402625
2025-10-12 0.006711 0.015120 0.031575 0.064869 0.128656 0.242593 0.456738
2025-10-19 0.005787 0.013680 0.029765 0.063519 0.130373 0.253377 0.490961
2025-10-26 0.005052 0.012531 0.028403 0.062939 0.133621 0.267505 0.533105
2025-11-02 0.004300 0.011205 0.026477 0.060945 0.133862 0.276062 0.565788
2025-11-09 0.003700 0.010115 0.024884 0.059415 0.134819 0.286020 0.602002
2025-11-16 0.003292 0.009413 0.024039 0.059379 0.138837 0.302291 0.651906
2025-11-23 0.002845 0.008521 0.022614 0.057827 0.139394 0.311593 0.688656
2025-11-30 0.002685 0.008363 0.022920 0.060327 0.149145 0.340713 0.768389
2025-12-07 0.002411 0.007835 0.022229 0.060341 0.153255 0.358276 0.825469
2025-12-14 0.002097 0.007122 0.020952 0.058730 0.153389 0.367238 0.864955
2025-12-21 0.001866 0.006609 0.020119 0.058123 0.155821 0.381442 0.916982
2025-12-28 0.001811 0.006638 0.020767 0.061464 0.168250 0.419210 1.024264
2026-01-04 0.001715 0.006513 0.020968 0.063632 0.177974 0.451583 1.121916